Advanced Stats for Basketball

March 29, 2008

Rebounding by Shot Location

Posted by Eli in Raw Stats

Here’s a chart of offensive rebounding percentage by shot location, as suggested by Eric in the comments to my last post. The chart doesn’t show where players grab rebounds on the court (I don’t have that data), instead it shows which shot locations result in more offensive rebounds.

This took a little more work to construct because rebounds are listed in separate lines of the play-by-play than shot attempts (and not always on the very next line), and because the league credits a rebound for all missed shots, even half-court heaves at the end of a quarter where the clock expires while the ball is in the air. I tried to eliminate as many of these bookkeeping rebounds from the data as I could (though the red squares on the longest threes suggest that some still remain, as the offensive team is typically credited with the bookkeeping rebound).

I smoothed out the data as I did on the FG% chart, so each 1×1 ft square actually represents the offensive rebounding percentage on shots taken from the surrounding three-foot by three-foot square on the court. The color scale runs from blue (low ORB%) to yellow (average ORB%) to red (high ORB%). The data is from the 03-04 to 06-07 seasons.

Which Shots are Offensive Rebounded - ORB% by Shot Location:

The conventional wisdom on this topic that one usually hears from broadcasters is that it’s easier to get offensive rebounds on three-pointers because of the long caroms. However, Dean Oliver, John Hollinger and others have done research suggesting that there is actually a higher offensive rebounding percentage on twos than threes (see this thread and this study).

This chart suggests that both sides are onto something - longer three-point jumpers are rebounded by the offense more often than shorter two-point jumpers, but shots in the paint are rebounded by the offense even more frequently than three-pointers. Interestingly, it also looks like jumpers from the right baseline are offensive rebounded more frequently than jumpers from the left baseline, but I’d have to take a closer look at the data to confirm that.


  1. Putting this chart together with your last one certainly seems to reinforce the notion that “the long 2-pointer is the worst shot is basketball.” That is, not only is the effective FG% of the original shot higher for both close-in shots and 3-pointers, but those same shots also lead to higher offensive rebound rates. Presumably if we could chart actual points resulting from an initial shot attempt (taking into account the points scored on that first shot, the likelihood of an offensive rebound if it is missed, and the points resulting from a follow-up shot), those long 2-pointers would look even worse than they do from these individual charts.

    Comment by Steve — March 30, 2008

  2. Eli,

    Nice work as usual. I’ve enjoyed these series of charts. One thing that struck me was how a number of the spots of higher efficiency are common open spots in offenses (e.g. the elbow jump shot). As such, I was thinking that the reason certain spots have a higher shooting percentage is because teams practice those shots more since they’re part of their offensive sets.

    So, the natural next question I had was have you thought about breaking down these charts by team? I’d be interested to see how the location of attempts and the location of makes varies by team.


    Comment by Aaron BarzilaiMarch 31, 2008

  3. I am just going to say that the spurs know the best shot. I guarantee that most of the threes they take are from the wing, which have a high efg% and high rebound rate.

    Comment by Eric — April 1, 2008

  4. The contact number of the affected person can be a key element, especially in really serious circumstances exactly where there can be emergencies. A incorrect entry here will mean that the physician may have no method of achieving the affected person. The physician loses make contact with and risks her or his reputation.
    nike air pegasus 27

    Comment by nike air pegasus 27January 15, 2014

  5. I am extremely impressed with your writing skills and also with the layout on your blog. Is this a paid theme or did you customize it yourself? Anyway keep up the excellent quality writing, it抯 rare to see a great blog like this one today..

    Comment by Kate Spade WalletsFebruary 26, 2014

  6. 1800 MHz, et des systèmes 3G dans la bande à 2100 MHz. Pour l’heure, au sol, seul l’opérateur Bouygues Télécom propose la 4G sur une bande de fréquence à 1 800 MHz.
    Portefeuille Longchamp

    Comment by Portefeuille LongchampJuly 9, 2014

  7. Admiring the persistence you put inbto your site and detailed information you offer.
    It’s awesome to come across a bloig every once in a while that isn’t the same
    out of date rehashed material. Excellent read! I’ve saved your site and
    I’m adding your RSS feeds to my Google account.

    Also visit mmy web site … [Helen]

    Comment by HelenJanuary 14, 2015

  8. HTC’s special hardware trick lies in its audio features. Front-facing stereo BoomSound speakers with a paired amplifier have made a return and have now been enhanced with Dolby Audio.

    Comment by Chanel iPhone 6 + CaseJune 8, 2015

  9. 1 month ago (0 children)Why would he want to hang out with thugs and criminals.
    Hermes Personality Grey

    Comment by Hermes Personality GreyDecember 30, 2015

  10. 2015 10:32 I favour the standpoint.
    Valentino Studs Autumn

    Comment by Valentino Studs AutumnDecember 30, 2015

  11. again, my thanks to our Reader.
    Bottega Veneta Eco-Friendly Newest

    Comment by Bottega Veneta Eco-Friendly NewestDecember 30, 2015

  12. a tones way for your customer to communicate.
    Prada Messenger Bag Fabric And Leather

    Comment by Prada Messenger Bag Fabric And LeatherDecember 30, 2015

  13. bc), regarded as the father of history, known for The Persian Wars.
    Celine Beige Black France

    Comment by Celine Beige Black FranceDecember 30, 2015

  14. Report comment Reply Deiseach says: January 24, 2015 at 9:04 pm Why is the assumption that gender balancing a field will pick the less capable.
    Gucci Raspberry Red 286198 KBT1G 6293

    Comment by Gucci Raspberry Red 286198 KBT1G 6293December 30, 2015

  15. Go to original post Actions Log in to reply.
    Prada Eco-Friendly With 100% Quality

    Comment by Prada Eco-Friendly With 100% QualityDecember 30, 2015

  16. You’ve done a formidable process and our entire group shall be grateful to you.
    Gucci Charm Italy

    Comment by Gucci Charm ItalyDecember 30, 2015

  17. Kristen says March 19, 2014 at 6:38 am Oh, geez.
    Gucci Classics Gold

    Comment by Gucci Classics GoldDecember 30, 2015

  18. in one case you accept learned present, in rule in front you disunite with stamp.
    Gucci Authentic Sale Hots

    Comment by Gucci Authentic Sale HotsDecember 30, 2015

RSS feed for comments on this post.

Leave a comment